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#Economic publications
Better equipped than its competitors to deal with energy shocks, China is currently limiting supply disruptions linked to tensions in the Middle East. However, rising input costs, combined with a slowdown in global demand, are weighing on already stretched corporate margins.
#Economic publications
The conflict in the Middle East and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have highlighted the fragility of the global maritime system. Against this backdrop, Arctic shipping routes are attracting renewed interest as climate change makes navigation along them easier. Coface’s analysis shows, however, that within five years their commercial impact will remain marginal, although they could nevertheless offer significant benefits for certain commodity flows.
#Economic publications
More than three years after the launch of ChatGPT, the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on employment remains largely invisible in aggregate statistics. However, it is beginning to emerge on the fringes in certain segments of the labor market, particularly in entry-level roles within the most vulnerable sectors. By providing a unique mapping of the exposure to AI-driven automation of the tasks that make up different occupations, this joint study by Coface and the Observatory of Threatened and Emerging Jobs (OEM) highlights a shift in the frontier of automation.
#Economic publications
25 days after the launch of the Israeli American offensive against Iran, disruptions to the supply of raw materials via the Strait of Hormuz continue to fuel prices volatility. For the time being, oil & gas, fertilisers, petrochemical derivatives and aluminium are particularly affected.
#Economic publications
Coface’s 10th Poland Payment Survey, conducted among 326 companies, reveals a clear deterioration in payment behavior, with average delays extending to 53 days, their highest level since 2021.
Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments for 160 countries and 13 sectors.
#Economic publications
The military escalation between the United States, Israel and Iran is putting extreme pressure on energy markets. Although no major supply disruptions have been reported yet, the risks surrounding the Strait of Hormuz pose a threat to the global economy if the conflict continues.
#Economic publications
Momentum for the global economy has been varied moving into 2026. We expect growth of +2.6% this year – a very minor decrease on +2.8% in 2025 – despite an international environment marked by persistent geopolitical, financial and social risks.
#Economic publications
A key metal in the electronics industry — solder alone accounts for 50% of global demand — tin is benefiting greatly from energy and digital transitions. However, supply growth remains limited, particularly in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Myanmar, which is expected to lead to a supply deficit as early as 2026, the first since 2021.
#Economic publications
In 2026, business insolvencies are expected to rise again, against a backdrop of gradually easing financing costs. Behind this apparent stabilisation lies a still high level of fragility, particularly in the construction, chemical and textile industries. A rise of just 25 basis points in interest rates on business loans would be enough to upset an easing trend.
Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments for 160 countries and 13 sectors.
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