Country Risk Update - Autumn 2012
The global economic slowdown is confirmed this fall, in line with the recession in the eurozone and the emerging market deceleration. Activity in the United States in on a steady path (around 2%), but the improvement in American businesses’ credit risk is flagging in the wake of growing concerns looming over the fiscal policy that will be implemented. Therefore the positive watch placed on the A2 assessment of the United States six months
ago is being removed.
In Europe, the crisis, still very sharp in the south of the eurozone, now hits the core countries. Because growth is sluggish and payment incidents trending up notably, Coface places the country assessments of Belgium, France and the Netherlands under a negative watch list.
The assessments on Australia and New Zealand have been downgraded considering the tangible problems the industry and service sectors
are confronted to, even though growth is still underpinned by the mining sector performance.